What's priced into Nextpower Inc.?
What do you have to believe to make money in Nextpower Inc. at $86.29? The stock trades at 21.7x trailing earnings and the Street expects about 23% growth a year. The question is where do we go from here?
Growth down the side, exit multiple across the top, your five-year annualized return in each cell.
5-year annualized return · growth vs exit multiple
| EPS growth ↓ · Exit multiple → | 10.8x −50% | 16.3x −25% | 21.7x today | 27.1x +25% | 21.0x 5y median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −11% (decline) | −23% | −16% | −11% | −7% | −12% |
| 0% (no growth) | −13% | −6% | +0% | +5% | −1% |
| 11% (half) | −3% | +5% | +11% | +17% | +11% |
| 23% (Street consensus) | +7% | +16% | +23% | +28% | +22% |
| 29% (beat) | +12% | +21% | +29% | +34% | +28% |
| 34% (big beat) | +17% | +27% | +34% | +40% | +33% |
“The bet you're really making is that big solar farms keep getting built, and keep buying Nextracker's motorized steel racks that tilt the panels to follow the sun. You're betting that even when Washington pulls back the tax breaks that fueled the US solar boom, the rest of the world builds enough, and Nextracker's backlog carries it through.”
From our NXT write-up.
Read the NXT write-up →Method. Trailing diluted EPS of $3.98 (price $86.29 ÷ 21.7x trailing P/E; data from Financial Modeling Prep, September 8, 2026). Exit multiples are anchored to the stock itself: 50% and 25% below today's multiple, today's, 25% above, and its own five-fiscal-year median of 21.0x. Growth rows are anchored to the Street’s forward consensus: a decline at half the center rate, zero, half, the center, 25% above, and 50% above. Cell shading scales with the return, green positive, red negative. Each cell: EPS compounds at the row's rate for five years, the stock is valued at the column's multiple in year five, and the result is the annualized return against today's price. Dividends and buybacks excluded. An illustrative surface, not a forecast and not a call.