BID TerminalOpen complete report
Research library Consumer

Back of Napkin

Cavco Industries, Inc. CVCO

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-07-31

Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-07-31, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

Cavco is the more vertically integrated of the two public manufactured-home makers, a net-cash builder with a captive lending-and-insurance arm that just posted record FY2026 revenue of $2.24B and diluted EPS of $23.98 on its newly filed 10-K.

You are paying about 25 times trailing earnings at record shipments and a 23.5% gross margin, so this is quality at a full price; the asymmetry is earnings growth plus relentless share-count shrinkage, not a cheap starting multiple, and the premium to peer Champion Homes has to be earned by the finance layer and the return-on-equity gap.

Key data

Sector / industryConsumer Cyclical / Residential Construction
FYE / countryLate March / US (Phoenix, AZ)
Price / 52w range$592.48 / $393.80 to $713.01
Position vs MA50d SMA $516.16, 200d SMA $552.15
Market cap / EV≈$4.55B / ≈$4.33B
Revenue (FY2026)≈$2.24B
EPS (FY2026, diluted GAAP)$23.98
Net cash≈$226M, debt is capital leases only
Forward P/E (FY2027E)≈24.7x
Beta1.31

CVCO · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$216$345$475$604$733 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Cavco designs, builds, and partly retails manufactured and modular homes under brands including Cavco, Fleetwood, Palm Harbor, and Commodore, and runs a second segment, Financial Services, that lends to its home buyers and sells property-and-casualty insurance to manufactured-home owners. Factory-Built Housing carries the franchise: $2.157B of FY2026 revenue, about 96% of the total, against $87M from Financial Services. The volume-and-price engine just shipped a record year. The differentiator versus Champion is that finance arm, a higher-margin, stickier earnings stream that captures the customer at the point of finance and insurance, smooths the cyclicality of the core, and gives Cavco a real-time read on buyer credit and demand.

The thing the financials do not show is twofold. The captive finance book is both an asset and a risk: it deepens the customer relationship and adds recurring earnings, but the loan portfolio carries credit exposure that widens if the consumer weakens. And forward visibility is short. Cavco builds against a thin order book, only a few weeks of production, so management steers with a limited forward view even when the trailing results look like a clean up-leg. The backdrop is a tight oligopoly behind Berkshire's Clayton Homes, riding a structural affordability gap to site-built housing and a chronic supply shortage, financed through the tighter home-only chattel market.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

Continue with CVCO

Get the complete Back of Napkin free.

Choose this as your free complete report. No card required.

Read the complete report