CVBack of Napkin
Cavco Industries, Inc. CVCO
Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-07-31, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.
Cavco is the more vertically integrated of the two public manufactured-home makers, a net-cash builder with a captive lending-and-insurance arm that just posted record FY2026 revenue of $2.24B and diluted EPS of $23.98 on its newly filed 10-K.
You are paying about 25 times trailing earnings at record shipments and a 23.5% gross margin, so this is quality at a full price; the asymmetry is earnings growth plus relentless share-count shrinkage, not a cheap starting multiple, and the premium to peer Champion Homes has to be earned by the finance layer and the return-on-equity gap.
Key data
CVCO · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Cavco designs, builds, and partly retails manufactured and modular homes under brands including Cavco, Fleetwood, Palm Harbor, and Commodore, and runs a second segment, Financial Services, that lends to its home buyers and sells property-and-casualty insurance to manufactured-home owners. Factory-Built Housing carries the franchise: $2.157B of FY2026 revenue, about 96% of the total, against $87M from Financial Services. The volume-and-price engine just shipped a record year. The differentiator versus Champion is that finance arm, a higher-margin, stickier earnings stream that captures the customer at the point of finance and insurance, smooths the cyclicality of the core, and gives Cavco a real-time read on buyer credit and demand.
The thing the financials do not show is twofold. The captive finance book is both an asset and a risk: it deepens the customer relationship and adds recurring earnings, but the loan portfolio carries credit exposure that widens if the consumer weakens. And forward visibility is short. Cavco builds against a thin order book, only a few weeks of production, so management steers with a limited forward view even when the trailing results look like a clean up-leg. The backdrop is a tight oligopoly behind Berkshire's Clayton Homes, riding a structural affordability gap to site-built housing and a chronic supply shortage, financed through the tighter home-only chattel market.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04The linchpins
- 05Closing
- 06Methodology
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