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Back of Napkin

Glanbia plc GLAPF

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Glanbia has already been re-rated for the thing that makes it interesting: it is the only large protein brand owner that also produces whey, and its stock is up about 86% off the €12.00 low while pure-play branded peers BellRing and Simply Good Foods sit 77% and 68% below their own highs.

You are paying roughly 17x guided FY2026 adjusted earnings and a 4.2% free-cash yield for 7% to 11% adjusted EPS growth, about a fifth of which is buyback, at a moment when the input cost that broke the branded peers is still rising.

Key data

MetricValue
Sector / industryConsumer defensive, packaged foods
Fiscal year / country52-53 weeks to early January; Ireland
Price (Euronext Dublin, GL9.IR)€22.36, about $25.43
52-week range€12.00 to €25.10
Market cap€5.40B, about $6.15B
Enterprise valueAbout $6.79B
FY2025 revenue$3.9B
FY2025 adjusted EPS$1.3493
FY2026E adjusted P/E17.0x
Net debt (4 Apr 2026)$648M

GLAPF · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$10$15$20$25$30 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Glanbia sells protein in two directions. It owns brands that sell finished protein to consumers, and it makes ingredients that other food companies build into their own products. Performance Nutrition is the engine: $1.8B of FY2025 revenue, 46% of the group, and $233.8M of EBITDA, 47% of the group total. Inside that segment, Optimum Nutrition alone was 78% of revenue in the first quarter of 2026, which puts a single brand at roughly 36% of group sales. Health & Nutrition, the premix and flavour-solutions arm, is the smallest at $628.5M but the best, earning an 18.4% EBITDA margin, and it is buying its way into Latin America and India through Sweetmix and Scicore. Dairy Nutrition is $1.5B of American-style cheddar, whey proteins and colostrum bioactives at a 9.9% margin, and it is the piece most investors skip.

Skipping it is the mistake. Whey supply is set by how much cheese gets made, so it cannot flex to meet demand, and demand has gone vertical as high-protein claims spread across mainstream grocery. Australian grass-fed WPC80 has risen more than 110% since July 2025, and suppliers are guiding another 20% to 30% by the end of 2026. That inflation is what took Performance Nutrition's EBITDA margin down 390 basis points to 13.0% in FY2025 and what has wrecked the equity of competitors who buy whey and do not make it. BellRing Brands, which owns Premier Protein and Dymatize, trades at $13.24 against a 52-week high of $56.69. Simply Good Foods, which owns Quest and Atkins, is at $10.46 against $33.19 and has written enough goodwill off to put its trailing EBITDA below zero. Glanbia is short whey inside Performance Nutrition and long whey inside Dairy Nutrition, and Dairy Nutrition's FY2026 EBITDA guidance was raised in April to $160M to $170M from $149.5M delivered. The hedge is partial rather than complete, because roughly two thirds of Dairy Nutrition's revenue is cheese, and cheese prices are falling while whey prices climb. But partial beats none, and none is what the peers have.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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