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Back of Napkin

Micron Technology, Inc. MU

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

Micron's revenue grew 345.7% last quarter and its gross margin went from 38% to 85%.

Memory prices did that, not Micron. DRAM sold for roughly 260% more per bit than a year earlier and NAND for 310% more.

MU · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$-22$289$599$909$1220 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Micron makes memory chips. DRAM is the working memory a processor reads and writes constantly; NAND is the storage that keeps data when the power goes off. It is one of three companies in the world that make DRAM at scale.

Memory has always been the most brutally cyclical business in semiconductors because the product is interchangeable and the factories cost tens of billions. What has changed is that training an artificial-intelligence model requires enormous quantities of high-bandwidth memory stacked next to the accelerator, and that demand arrived faster than anyone could build capacity.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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