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Back of Napkin

Viper Energy, Inc. VNOM

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-08-05

Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-05, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

Viper Energy is the largest public oil-and-gas minerals owner, collecting a no-capex royalty on mostly Diamondback-operated Permian wells it never has to pay to drill, at roughly 85% cash margins.

You are paying about $15.7 billion, a near-5% variable dividend, for a pure royalty stream on the oil price and Permian volumes; the asymmetry is a clean, scaled royalty levered to crude, not a growth story, and crude fell again today.

Key data

Sector / industryEnergy / Oil and gas minerals and royalties (Permian)
FYE / countryDecember / US (Midland, TX), controlled by Diamondback
Price / 52w range$43.69, down 1.6% today / $35.10 to $51.13
Position vs MA50d SMA $46.86, 200d SMA $41.77
Market cap / EV≈$15.7B / ≈$17.3B
Revenue (FY25)≈$1.35B, up 57%
Forward P/E (FY26E)≈16.6x
Trailing dividend / yield$2.31 / ≈5.3%
Beta0.21

VNOM · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$25$34$42$50$59 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Viper owns mineral and royalty interests under Permian acreage, predominantly operated by parent Diamondback Energy. As a royalty owner it takes a fixed cut of the revenue from production on its acreage with no obligation to fund drilling, completion, or operating costs. That model is the whole story: with essentially no capex and only light overhead, roughly 85% of revenue converts to cash, the highest-margin structure in energy. The engine is the royalty stream on Diamondback-developed Midland and Delaware acreage, and the 2025 Sitio merger plus Diamondback dropdowns roughly doubled the share count again and made Viper the largest public minerals-and-royalty company by a wide margin. Q1 2026 royalty revenue ran $496 million, an annualized pace near $2.0 billion against $1.35 billion for all of 2024 plus the back half of Sitio.

The fact the financials do not show is total exposure to two variables Viper does not control: Permian production volumes, set mostly by Diamondback's drilling pace, and the realized oil price. Diamondback's raised 2026 oil guide underpins volumes with a visibility most minerals owners lack, since the operator and the royalty owner share management and a roof. But realized prices track WTI with no hedge buffer, so the variable dividend rises and falls with crude. What changed in the last two quarters: the Sitio acreage closed and lifted revenue and volumes step-wise, the share count jumped to about 181 million diluted, and oil rolled over again today on Middle-East de-escalation, which feeds straight into the next payout.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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