What's priced into Ares Management Corporation?
What do you have to believe to make money in Ares Management Corporation at $142? The stock trades at 62.2x trailing earnings and the Street expects about 43% growth a year. The question is where do we go from here?
Growth down the side, exit multiple across the top, your five-year annualized return in each cell.
The expectations grid · 5-year annualized return
| EPS growth ↓ · Exit multiple → | 31.1x −50% | 46.6x −25% | 62.2x today | 77.7x +25% | 78.7x 5y median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −22% (decline) | −32% | −26% | −22% | −18% | −18% |
| 0% (no growth) | −13% | −6% | +0% | +5% | +5% |
| 22% (half) | +6% | +15% | +22% | +27% | +28% |
| 43% (Street consensus) | +25% | +35% | +43% | +50% | +50% |
| 54% (beat) | +34% | +46% | +54% | +61% | +62% |
| 65% (big beat) | +44% | +56% | +65% | +73% | +73% |
“Ares raised a record $36.4B in a single quarter, sits on a record $170B of dry powder, and the share count that funds all this growth has risen 18% in t…”
From our ARES write-up.
Read the ARES write-up →Method. Trailing diluted EPS of $2.29 (price $142.41 ÷ 62.2x trailing P/E; data from Financial Modeling Prep, August 28, 2026). Exit multiples are anchored to the stock itself: 50% and 25% below today's multiple, today's, 25% above, and its own five-fiscal-year median of 78.7x. Growth rows are anchored to the Street’s forward consensus: a decline at half the center rate, zero, half, the center, 25% above, and 50% above. Cell shading scales with the return, green positive, red negative. Each cell: EPS compounds at the row's rate for five years, the stock is valued at the column's multiple in year five, and the result is the annualized return against today's price. Dividends and buybacks excluded. An illustrative surface, not a forecast and not a call.