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Back of Napkin

Abbott Laboratories ABT

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Five days ago it agreed to pay roughly $670M to settle infant formula litigation, with about 1,700 lawsuits still outstanding.

The revenue growth is bought and the cost of buying it sits below the operating line.

ABT · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$80$96$111$127$142 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Four businesses, and only one of them is why anyone owns this. Medical Devices is $5.85B a quarter at a 34% segment margin, and inside it sits the continuous glucose monitor, a small disc a diabetic wears on the arm that replaced the finger prick. Diagnostic Products runs the tests hospitals and labs order. Nutritional Products is Similac and Ensure. Established Pharmaceuticals sells branded generics into emerging markets.

In March, Abbott paid $20.6B in cash for Exact Sciences, the cancer screening company behind the mail-order colon test, and funded it with $20B of new borrowing. That transaction is the reason the numbers below look the way they do.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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