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Back of Napkin

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock ALAB

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

Revenue more than doubled year over year for the sixth quarter running, and the shares are 43% below their high.

ALAB · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$10$119$229$338$447 Mar '24Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Astera Labs makes the small chips that keep signals intact inside an artificial intelligence rack. A retimer cleans up a PCIe signal that has degraded over a few inches of copper. A fabric switch routes traffic between processors and memory. A memory controller extends how much memory a server can address.

None of it computes anything. All of it exists because the accelerators got fast enough that the wires between them became the bottleneck. That is a good position to hold: the company sells a necessary component into a build-out it does not have to win, and it sells it to whoever is buying accelerators.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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