CRBack of Napkin
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd CRDO
Two customers are 81% of it, and the largest one's share fell from 67% to 49% while that was happening.
CRDO · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Credo makes the parts that move data very fast over very short distances. The headline product is the active electrical cable: a copper cable with silicon in the connector that cleans up the signal, so a data centre can run 800 gigabits between racks without paying for optics. It also sells optical signal processors, retimers for the connections between chips, and licensed serialiser designs that other people build into their own silicon.
The customer is whoever is assembling artificial intelligence clusters this year. Ten customers are roughly 90% of revenue, identified in the filings only by letter. This is a components business selling into the fastest capital cycle in the industry's history, which is both why it tripled and why the customer table is the first thing to read.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04How it fails or surprises you
- 05The shape of the payoff
- 06Closing thoughts
- 07Methodology
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