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Back of Napkin

Wolfspeed Inc. WOLF

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-08-20

Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-20, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

Wolfspeed is the only Western pure-play silicon-carbide maker, fresh out of Chapter 11, now carrying $1.8B of debt against $1.16B of cash and a restored positive book equity, on a revenue base that shrank to $150M in the March quarter while gross margin stayed negative.

You are paying a $2.4B equity market cap for a 200mm SiC technology lead that the cash flows do not yet support; the asymmetry is whether the Mohawk Valley fab utilization climbs fast enough to turn gross margin positive before the cash cushion thins, with Renesas now inside the boardroom and motivated to make that happen.

Key data

Sector / industryTechnology / Semiconductors (silicon-carbide pure-play, post-restructuring)
FYE / countryJune / US
Price / 52w range$49.09 / $8.05 to $80.82
Position vs MA50d SMA $42.97, 200d SMA $26.88
Market cap / EV≈$2.4B / ≈$3.5B
Revenue (TTM)≈$712M
Net loss (TTM)≈$1.58B
Net debt≈$1.1B (post-restructuring)
Beta7.97 (extreme volatility)

WOLF · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$11$27$43$58$74 Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Wolfspeed makes wide-bandgap power and RF semiconductors, vertically integrated from 200mm silicon-carbide wafer production through device fabrication, selling MOSFETs, Schottky diodes, and power modules into EV charging, industrial power, solar, and grid applications, plus bare and epitaxial SiC wafers to other chipmakers. The slice doing most of the work today is Power Products, at roughly $414M of FY25's $757.6M of revenue, with the balance coming from Materials, the substrate and wafer sales that feed both Wolfspeed's own fabs and outside customers. The operating lever is the Mohawk Valley device fab in upstate New York, the first 200mm SiC device fab in the world, ramping since 2023; the legacy 150mm Durham line has been wound down to consolidate the footprint and pull out fixed cost.

What the financials do not show is that the company is a fundamentally different entity post-emergence than the one the multi-year P&L describes. Wolfspeed emerged from Chapter 11 in late September 2025, converting roughly $4.6B of debt to equity. Renesas, a pre-petition creditor that had committed $2B as a SiC volume customer in 2023 before unwinding it as the auto cycle turned, is now the largest equity holder, holds secured convertible debt, and sits on the board. That gives a major Japanese power-semi player both the financial incentive (equity upside, wafer supply) and the technology incentive (keeping the 200mm-to-300mm roadmap funded) to see the ramp through. The current $49 stock represents the post-emergence equity stack, not the pre-emergence one that prior shareholders held.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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