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Back of Napkin

Bloom Energy Corporation BE

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-07-28

Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-07-28, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

You are paying $78B of market cap, 129x forward earnings, and 32x trailing sales for a solid-oxide fuel cell maker that printed its strongest quarter ever in Q1 2026 ($751M revenue, $0.23 GAAP diluted EPS) on hyperscaler behind-the-meter demand.

The asymmetry is a real 90-day deployment advantage over a 2-to-5-year grid interconnection queue, wrapped inside a momentum multiple that already prices three-plus years of flawless ramp and against which the Street's own price target now sits 16% below the tape.

Key data

Sector / industryIndustrials / Electrical Equipment (solid-oxide fuel cells)
FYE / countryDecember / United States
Price / 52w range$274.50 / $20.93 to $322.83
Market cap / EV$78.1B / $78.4B
TTM revenue / GAAP EPS$2.45B / -$0.12
Q1 2026 revenue / EPS$751M / $0.23 GAAP diluted
Forward P/E (FY26E $2.14)129x
FY26E revenue (consensus)$3.69B (+82% on FY25)
Beta / dividend3.75 / none
Street rating / PTBuy (16 buy, 12 hold, 3 sell) / $230 consensus

BE · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$-17$76$169$262$355 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Bloom Energy makes solid-oxide fuel cells (SOFCs) that convert natural gas, biogas, or hydrogen into electricity through a high-temperature electrochemical reaction at the customer's site, with no combustion and low emissions. The product is the Bloom Energy Server, a stackable on-site power unit sold outright or under a managed-services contract to data centers, hospitals, manufacturers, retailers, and telecom sites. The segment doing most of the work is the Product line: $1.53B of FY25 revenue, about 76% of the $2.02B total and up 41% from $1.09B in FY24, with Service ($228M), Installation ($206M), and Electricity ($60M) rounding out the rest. Hardware sales to AI-data-center customers are the engine; everything else is attach.

The qualitative fact the financials understate is the speed-of-deployment edge. AI buildouts are gated by interconnection queues at grid operators like PJM, ERCOT, and CAISO, where new large-load wait times run two to five years. Behind-the-meter generation skips the queue: Bloom can commission a large SOFC installation in roughly 90 days, and a data center operator earning $5M to $15M of revenue per MW per year will pay a higher per-kWh cost to avoid a multi-year wait. What changed in the last two quarters is the order book turning into delivered revenue. Q1 2026 revenue of $751M was up 130% year over year and nearly matched the record Q4 2025 ($778M), and management points to large multi-year hyperscaler commitments as the demand anchor behind the FY26 step-up. The order pipeline, not the trailing quarter, is the leading indicator that matters here.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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