BUMoat Dive
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV BUD Moat
Anheuser-Busch InBev sold 2.3% less beer in 2025 and made more money, because revenue per hectolitre rose 4.4%.
North American volumes have declined in every period measured, and Asia Pacific is deteriorating faster.
Key data
The moat
A brewery's moat is a brand a drinker asks for by name and a distribution system that puts it in every bar, shop and stadium in a country. The second half is the harder one: cold chain, route density, and in many markets a wholesaler relationship that took decades to build and that a new brand cannot buy its way into.
Scale funds the marketing that keeps the brand asked for, and the volume through the trucks makes the distribution cheaper per case than any smaller brewer can manage.
What it produces is the ability to raise price on a declining volume and still grow revenue, which is the specific test of whether a consumer brand is a moat or a habit.
Widening or narrowing
The company is growing on price while the thing it sells shrinks.
| Region | FY2025 volume | Q4 2025 volume | Q2 2026 volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| North America | -3.9% | -5.5% | -0.8% |
| Middle Americas | +0.4% | +2.0% | +4.8% |
| South America | -3.8% | -3.7% | +3.9% |
| Europe, Middle East, Africa | -0.7% | -2.4% | +0.9% |
| Asia Pacific | -6.2% | -0.8% | -4.7% |
| Total | -2.6% | -1.9% | +1.1% |
Three of five regions were negative in every period until the most recent, when South America and Europe turned positive and the total reached +1.1%. Middle Americas grew in all three periods and is the only consistent one, though the company notes Mexican beer volumes specifically fell 9.7% in the June quarter on a soft industry, so even that region is uneven underneath.
Asia Pacific is negative in all three and worsening in the latest, at -4.7%. North America has been negative throughout, at its worst -5.5%.
Revenue per hectolitre rose 4.4% in 2025 and 4.2% in the June quarter, which is what carried revenue while volume fell. That is a working moat: a brand that can take price without losing more volume than it gains in revenue.
The overrated case. Price offsetting volume works until it does not, and the mechanism has a limit no filing discloses. A brewer raising price 4% a year on volumes falling 2 to 4% is compounding revenue while its actual footprint contracts, and the same arithmetic reverses sharply if the drinker eventually switches on price. The company states it gained or maintained share in 70% of its markets, up from two thirds a year earlier, which is its own estimate rather than a measured figure and is the sort of claim no filing requires it to substantiate.
On profit pool, the brewer takes the manufacturer's margin on a product where the retailer and the tax authority both take more per litre than it does. A large slice of a shrinking litre.
The moat is stable on price and narrowing on volume.
Inside the complete Moat Dive
- 01What breaks it, and who
- 02Closing
- 03Methodology
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