GTBack of Napkin
GitLab Inc. GTLB
Every forward indicator GitLab publishes has fallen for five consecutive quarters, in lockstep, while revenue still grows 23%.
Net expansion went 123 to 117, backlog growth went 40% to 18%, and large-customer growth went 29% to 18%.
GTLB · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
GitLab is where software gets built. Engineers store the code there, the platform runs the tests, scans for vulnerabilities and pushes the result into production. The pitch is that all of it lives in one product rather than six stitched together, which matters most to the security and compliance people rather than to the engineers themselves.
It sells per seat, per year, to engineering organisations that range from a two-person startup to a bank. Because the platform is where the source code lives, migrating off it is the kind of project a head of engineering postpones indefinitely. That is the moat, and the constraint is that a per-seat product grows with the number of engineers a customer employs.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04How it fails or surprises you
- 05The shape of the payoff
- 06Closing thoughts
- 07Methodology
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