INBack of Napkin
Inter & Co, Inc. INTR
You're paying 1.1x book and 7.7x trailing earnings for a 45-million-client Brazilian digital bank compounding net revenue 32% a year with ROE that just printed 16.3%, a record, while the stock sits 51% below its 52-week high.
The setup turns on whether the private-payroll credit wobble, NPL 90+ up from 4.4% to 5.1% in one quarter, is a new book seasoning or the front edge of a Brazilian credit cycle.
Key data
INTR · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Inter & Co is the Belo Horizonte super-app bank: a full digital banking license wrapped in checking, credit cards, payroll and real-estate secured lending, an investment platform, insurance, and a shopping mall, sold to 45.3M clients with a 58.3% activation rate, adding 3.7M actives over the last twelve months. The engine is the credit book funded by cheap transactional deposits; net interest income plus underwriting drove most of the 32% net revenue growth in Q2 2026, and the loan mix has been deliberately rotated toward collateralized products, with the new private-payroll loan line as the growth vehicle of the moment. The moat, named and left for deeper work, is the deposit franchise: a mass-market client base that keeps funding costs among the lowest in Brazilian banking.
What the financials don't show is regime and vintage. Brazil is running double-digit policy rates, which suppresses every Brazilian financial's multiple while fattening deposit spreads, and the private-payroll product Inter leaned into is young; its first vintages are seasoning right now, which is exactly where the Q2 credit noise came from. Management's stated North Star, the 60/30/30 plan, targets 60M clients, a 30% efficiency ratio, and 30% ROE by 2027, per the company's investor materials; the last two quarters moved every metric toward it except credit.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04The linchpins
- 05Closing
- 06Methodology
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