BID TerminalOpen complete report
Research library Payments & Fintech

Back of Napkin

Klarna Group plc KLAR

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

You are paying about $5.3B for a network that moved $36.6B last quarter, kept $446M after processing, funding and credit costs, and has finally crossed into reported profit.

The setup turns on whether rising take rates and U.S. scale are the beginning of a durable payments network, or the temporary reward for replacing short pay-in-four purchases with longer, riskier loans while Europe slows.

Key data

Sector / industryFinancials / consumer finance
FYE / countryDecember / UK and Sweden
Price$14.00
52-week range$12.06 to $47.48
Market cap≈$5.3B
Revenue (TTM)≈$4.0B
TMD (TTM)≈$1.5B
Net income (TTM)≈$(111)M
FY2027E EPS$0.66
Forward P/E (FY2027E)≈21.4x

KLAR · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$10$19$28$37$45 Sep '25Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Klarna sits between a shopper and a merchant. It pays the merchant, lets the shopper pay now or later, and earns merchant fees, interest, membership revenue and gains when receivables are sold. Pay Later remains the engine at 77% of Q2 gross merchandise volume, while Pay in Full was 10% and longer-term Fair Financing reached 13%. The business is increasingly two things at once: a checkout network and a consumer lender funded primarily with deposits.

The slice doing the incremental work is Fair Financing. Its volume grew 82% to $4.7B, while total volume grew 18%. That mix shift helped revenue rise 27% to $1.0B and the revenue take rate reach 2.84%, up 20 basis points. It also lengthens the credit clock. The average loan book still turns about ten times a year with an average balance of $124 and duration near 40 days, but U.S. Fair Financing charge-offs run in a 3% to 4% expected range, far above the loss profile of short Pay Later.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

Continue with KLAR

Get the complete Back of Napkin free.

Choose this as your free complete report. No card required.

Read the complete report