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Back of Napkin

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne LVMHF

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

LVMH trades at 20.9x trailing earnings against 38.7x for Hermès and 34.9x for Richemont, and it is the only one of the three that just reported an inflection: organic growth turned positive at 2% in the first half, with Fashion and Leather Goods back to growth in the second quarter after two years of decline.

You are paying roughly half the peer multiple and getting double the free cash flow yield, 5.9% on enterprise value against a 2.9% peer median, for a business earning 9.5% on invested capital against Hermès at 22.7%, which is the whole argument in one line: the discount is real and so is the reason for it.

Key data

MetricValue
Sector / industryConsumer cyclical, luxury goods
Fiscal year / countryDecember year end, half-yearly reporting; France
Price (Euronext Paris, MC.PA)€457.05, about $520
52-week range€440.00 to €654.70
Market cap€226.6B
Enterprise value€256.4B
TTM revenue (through Jun 2026)€79.6B
TTM diluted EPS€21.92
P/E, trailing20.9x
Net debt€29.8B including leases, 1.25x EBITDA

LVMHF · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$484$608$731$855$979 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

LVMH owns roughly 75 luxury houses across five groups, and one of them is the company. Fashion and Leather Goods, which is Louis Vuitton, Dior, Loro Piana, Celine, Fendi and Loewe, generated €18.14B of first-half revenue, 47% of the group, and €6.2B of profit from recurring operations, which is 71% of all group profit at a 34.1% margin against 22.5% for the group. Watches and Jewelry, mostly Tiffany and Bulgari, is €5.22B of revenue and €831M of profit. Selective Retailing, which is Sephora and DFS, is €8.40B of revenue and €893M of profit, so it carries 22% of revenue and 10% of profit. Wines and Spirits, the Moët Hennessy side, contributed €582M. When people say LVMH, the financial statements say Louis Vuitton and Dior.

What the headline decline hides is that the shape of the business changed direction this half. Group revenue fell 3% reported but rose 2% organic, and the second quarter accelerated to 3% organic, or 4% excluding the Middle East conflict. Inside that, Fashion and Leather Goods returned to 1% organic growth in the second quarter after a 2% organic decline in the first, its first increase in two years. Watches and Jewelry grew 9% organic across the half and 11% in the second quarter. The reported numbers are worse than the underlying ones because the euro moved against LVMH, and management attributes more than the whole of the Fashion and Leather Goods margin decline to currency. So the operating business inflected while the translated numbers still fell.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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