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Back of Napkin

MSCI Inc. MSCI

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The assets in exchange-traded funds benchmarked to MSCI indexes went from $1.78T to $2.82T in six quarters.

MSCI collects basis points on that, which is why its fee revenue grew 25% while its subscription revenue grew 11%.

MSCI · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$454$502$549$597$645 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

MSCI decides what counts as an emerging market. It publishes the indexes that trillions of dollars are measured against and, more lucratively, that exchange-traded funds are built on. When a fund licenses the MSCI World, MSCI is paid a fee on the assets in it, forever, with no marginal cost.

Around that sit three subscription businesses: portfolio risk analytics sold to asset managers, climate and sustainability data, and a private assets business bought to cover what indexes cannot. They grow slowly and steadily. The index business is the franchise and the asset-based fee inside it is the leverage.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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