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Back of Napkin

Nebius Group N.V. NBIS

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

Nebius has reported net income twice in six quarters, and both times it came from revaluing a stake in a private database company rather than from operations.

The actual business grew cloud revenue 514% to $574.9M last quarter and lost $190.4M doing it.

NBIS · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$-4$74$152$230$308 Oct '24Mar '25Jul '25Dec '25Apr '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Nebius rents artificial-intelligence computing from data centres in Europe and the United States, the same model as the American specialists but positioned for customers who want capacity outside the large hyperscalers. Alongside sit two unrelated things: Avride, which builds autonomous delivery robots, and TripleTen, an education business. Both are immaterial and TripleTen is shrinking.

The company also holds a stake in ClickHouse, a private database firm, and that holding has done more for reported earnings than the operating business has.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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