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Back of Napkin

CDW Corporation CDW

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-08-05

Written 2026-06-29. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-05, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

CDW is an asset-light IT reseller earning ≈12% ROIC and ≈6% FCF yield, trading at ≈13x forward earnings in the middle of its 52-week range after a recovery off the low but still ≈24% below the high.

The asymmetry is a low-cyclical compounder that is finally entering the demand window it spent two years waiting for: the Windows 10 end-of-life PC refresh and the AI-infrastructure build, with gross-profit growth and a shrinking share count doing the compounding rather than headline net sales.

Key data

ItemValue
Sector / modelIT solutions and value-added reseller, asset-light distribution
FYE / countryDecember / US (with UK and Canada operations)
Price / 52w range$139.88 vs $97.12 to $183.91 (mid-range)
Market cap / EV≈$17.9B / ≈$23.4B
FY2025 net sales / gross profit$22.42B / $4.87B (21.7% margin)
FY2025 EPS (GAAP dil / non-GAAP)$8.08 / ≈$9.89
Forward P/E (FY26E)≈13x
ROIC / ROE (TTM)≈12.3% / ≈42%
Net debt / EBITDA≈3.0x
Dividend + buyback yield≈1.8% + ≈3.7%

CDW · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$90$134$179$224$268 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

CDW sells hardware, software, and services to three customer end-markets: Corporate, Small Business, and Public, the last bundling government, education, and healthcare, across the US, UK, and Canada. The engine is the Corporate segment at $9.44B of FY2025 net sales (6.8% growth), with Public close behind at $8.54B (4.6%) and Small Business the fastest grower at $1.73B (13.3%); the UK and Canada "Other" operations add roughly $2.7B. By product, hardware is still the bulk of billings at ≈$16.1B, but software ($4.2B) and services ($2.0B) are the higher-margin, faster-growing mix and the reason gross profit is the truer scale gauge than net sales. A meaningful and growing share of CDW's software, SaaS, cloud, and warranty revenue is booked on a net basis, meaning only the margin lands in net sales rather than the full customer billing, so reported revenue understates the volume CDW actually moves and gross-profit dollars are what compound. FY2025 gross profit was $4.87B, up 5.9% on net sales up 6.8%, with the gap explained by that netted-down mix.

The qualitative fact the financials do not show is where the demand cycle sits. CDW spent 2023 and 2024 in a soft IT-spending trough with customers deferring device purchases; that is now inflecting. The Windows 10 end-of-support date of October 2025 forces a commercial PC refresh that runs through 2026, AI-capable PCs raise the replacement value per unit, and datacenter and networking demand tied to AI build-outs is lifting infrastructure orders. Q1 2026 showed it: net sales up 9% to $5.68B, Commercial up 9.6% with Financial Services customers up 28.2%, and international up 17.9%. The offset is mix: gross margin slipped to 21.0% from 21.6% as hardware (lower margin, gross-booked) outgrew netted-down software, which is why net sales can outrun gross profit in a refresh year.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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