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Back of Napkin

Everpure, Inc. P

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The bet you're really making is that the three largest cloud operators keep ripping out their spinning hard drives and replacing them with Pure's flash arrays at a scale nobody has sold storage hardware at before. You're betting that business is big and lasting, not a one-time infrastructure swap, even though those cloud buyers pay less per box than Pure's corporate customers do. Right now it is going well, with one thing to watch. Sales jumped 38% last quarter, the fastest quarterly growth in years, while gross margin slipped from 70% a year ago to 68% now as product costs rose faster than revenue. You pay about 60 times trailing cash operating profit, the middle of the range since Pure turned profitable in 2023, and more than triple what traditional storage vendors trade at.

Key data

Price$99.51
52-week range$56.78 – $119.10
P/E, GAAP TTM / FY29E131x / 22x
EV/EBITDA, TTM61x

P · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$25$50$75$100$125 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jul '25Feb '26Sep '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Pure Storage sells all-flash data storage arrays, refrigerator-sized boxes packed with flash memory modules Pure designs itself and software called Purity that runs them. For a decade the buyers were corporate data centers replacing hard-drive arrays, and Pure won them with a promise called Evergreen: it upgrades your storage in place forever instead of forcing a rip-and-replace cycle every few years. That promise, plus flash modules Pure designs rather than buying off the shelf, creates switching costs. Once a customer is on the Evergreen subscription, leaving means re-buying everything. Increasingly the product is sold as a service, Evergreen//One, billed like electricity rather than as capital equipment. The new chapter, and the reason the stock doubled off its 52-week low, is that the largest cloud operators are now buying Pure flash to replace the spinning hard drives in their data warehouses.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05Closing thoughts
  6. 06Methodology

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