PFBack of Napkin
Pfizer Inc. PFE
Pfizer has written off $8.7B of acquired drug programmes in two of the last three quarters.
It holds $976M of cash against $63.1B of debt, and consensus has its revenue falling in 2027.
PFE · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Pfizer discovers, buys and sells prescription medicines. What it actually is right now is a company spending a windfall. The pandemic produced roughly $100B of revenue that will never repeat, and Pfizer used it to buy pipeline, most visibly Seagen for $43B in 2023. The question since has been whether the things it bought work.
The current revenue base is ordinary large pharmaceutical: Eliquis, the anticoagulant it shares with Bristol Myers, at $2.4B a quarter and growing 21%. Vyndaqel for cardiac amyloidosis at $1.8B. Comirnaty and Paxlovid, the two products that produced the windfall, at $261M and $21M respectively, which is what the far side of a pandemic looks like.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04How it fails or surprises you
- 05The shape of the payoff
- 06Closing thoughts
- 07Methodology
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