BID TerminalOpen complete report
Research library

Back of Napkin

Verizon Communications Inc. VZ

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

The bet you're really making is that Americans keep paying their Verizon phone bill every month, and that Verizon charges each customer a little more over time. You're betting it can do that while carrying one of the biggest debt piles in corporate America, and still pay the dividend that is the reason most people own the stock. Right now it is mixed: the money from phone and internet service grew about 4% last quarter, but reported profit fell 23% as one-time costs hit. You pay 13 times last year's earnings, or 8 times earnings before the big costs, the middle of where the stock has sat for a decade and cheaper than its rivals.

Key data

Price$50.14
52-week range$38.39 – $51.68
P/E (TTM / FY2028)13.1x / 8.9x
EV/EBITDA8.0x

VZ · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$29$35$41$47$53 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jul '25Feb '26Sep '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Verizon sells wireless service, phone and data plans, to consumers and businesses, plus home internet over Fios fiber and fixed wireless. The recurring monthly bills, service revenue, are $29.2B of the $34.3B quarterly total; the rest is handsets sold on installment. The moat is physical: it owns nationwide licensed spectrum and the towers and fiber to light it, a network only AT&T and T-Mobile can match, and moving a family's phone numbers and plan is enough friction that most people never do. The economics are simple and brutal, a high fixed cost to build and maintain the network, then near-pure margin on each added subscriber, which is why the entire game is adding connections and nudging price without spooking anyone into leaving. The live pressure point is the US Cellular deal: Verizon is buying spectrum licenses to deepen coverage, and it switched the buyback back on this year after a stretch of none. The texture the marketing never shows is the several billion in network depreciation and interest that clears the books every quarter before a dollar reaches shareholders.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05Closing thoughts
  6. 06Methodology

Continue with VZ

Get the complete Back of Napkin free.

Choose this as your free complete report. No card required.

Read the complete report