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Back of Napkin

Casey's General Stores, Inc. CASY

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Casey's earns more selling pizza than gasoline, and last quarter it made 46.9 cents on every gallon, the best fuel margin in its recorded history.

Both halves are running hot at once, which is why the shares are at $854.21 against $490.00 a year ago and priced at forty times earnings.

CASY · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$178$370$563$756$948 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Casey's runs 2,944 convenience stores, about seven in ten of them in towns of fewer than 20,000 people, which is the entire point. In a place with no restaurant open after nine, the Casey's is the restaurant. It bakes its own pizza, sandwiches and doughnuts on site, and prepared food carries a gross margin near 60% against single digits on merchandise. Fuel brings people to the lot; the kitchen is where the money is made.

The company distributes to itself from three warehouses, which is why the food margin holds where a franchised competitor's would not.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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