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Back of Napkin

Cheche Group Inc. CCG

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Cheche Group is a Chinese online auto-insurance broker whose stock has run from $0.35 to $13 in a year on a real inflection: FY2025 revenue fell 13% to RMB 3.0B (≈$415M) while the operating loss collapsed from RMB 155M in 2023 to RMB 19M in 2025, and Q4 2025 printed the first quarterly operating profit in the company's public history.

At a $31M market cap against ≈$333M of book equity and ≈$140M of cash, you are paying 9% of book for a broker that just turned cash-flow-visible; the asymmetry is whether Q4's 0.4% operating margin repeats and scales, not whether the company can survive.

Key data

Sector / countryCommunication Services, China (Beijing)
Price / 52w range$13.00, $0.35 to $16.83
Market cap≈$31M
Enterprise value≈$153M
FY2025 revenueRMB 3.01B (≈$415M)
FY2025 EPS (diluted)RMB (7.35), ≈$(1.01)
Q4 2025 EPS (diluted)RMB 1.54, ≈$0.21
P/B0.62x
Cash / share$59.40
Beta0.17

CCG · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$-41$153$348$542$737 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Cheche runs an online platform in China that connects auto-insurance carriers with distribution channels (dealers, agents, digital partners) and originates policies on their behalf. The engine is auto: China's auto-insurance market is compulsory, roughly RMB 900B in annual premium, and Cheche sits in the transaction layer earning a commission on gross written premium routed through its platform. The 20% of the business doing 80% of the work is core auto brokerage at about 95% of the RMB 3.0B revenue base, with a growing but still small non-auto P&C line (property, health, liability) that carries structurally higher take rates. The take rate on the whole book is thin, gross margin was 5.5% in 2025, because Chinese auto insurance is a price-regulated commodity where the carrier owns the risk and pays out a narrow commission.

What the financials do not show is the shape of the counterparty. Cheche's revenue is gross written premium multiplied by a commission, so the RMB 3.0B "revenue" figure reflects roughly RMB 50-60B of premium flowing through the platform, and its economics depend on which carriers pay what commission for what channel. The 2023-2024 losses were the cost of buying distribution (heavy S&M and G&A to onboard dealers ahead of scale); 2025 shows those costs coming down hard, with SG&A falling 23% year-over-year on declining revenue. That is the operating leverage story. The question the P&L cannot answer is whether the platform is now genuinely lower-cost to run at scale, or whether management cut into distribution muscle to hit profitability and the growth will follow the cost down.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Methodology

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