CCBack of Napkin
Cheche Group Inc. CCG
Cheche Group is a Chinese online auto-insurance broker whose stock has run from $0.35 to $13 in a year on a real inflection: FY2025 revenue fell 13% to RMB 3.0B (≈$415M) while the operating loss collapsed from RMB 155M in 2023 to RMB 19M in 2025, and Q4 2025 printed the first quarterly operating profit in the company's public history.
At a $31M market cap against ≈$333M of book equity and ≈$140M of cash, you are paying 9% of book for a broker that just turned cash-flow-visible; the asymmetry is whether Q4's 0.4% operating margin repeats and scales, not whether the company can survive.
Key data
CCG · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Cheche runs an online platform in China that connects auto-insurance carriers with distribution channels (dealers, agents, digital partners) and originates policies on their behalf. The engine is auto: China's auto-insurance market is compulsory, roughly RMB 900B in annual premium, and Cheche sits in the transaction layer earning a commission on gross written premium routed through its platform. The 20% of the business doing 80% of the work is core auto brokerage at about 95% of the RMB 3.0B revenue base, with a growing but still small non-auto P&C line (property, health, liability) that carries structurally higher take rates. The take rate on the whole book is thin, gross margin was 5.5% in 2025, because Chinese auto insurance is a price-regulated commodity where the carrier owns the risk and pays out a narrow commission.
What the financials do not show is the shape of the counterparty. Cheche's revenue is gross written premium multiplied by a commission, so the RMB 3.0B "revenue" figure reflects roughly RMB 50-60B of premium flowing through the platform, and its economics depend on which carriers pay what commission for what channel. The 2023-2024 losses were the cost of buying distribution (heavy S&M and G&A to onboard dealers ahead of scale); 2025 shows those costs coming down hard, with SG&A falling 23% year-over-year on declining revenue. That is the operating leverage story. The question the P&L cannot answer is whether the platform is now genuinely lower-cost to run at scale, or whether management cut into distribution muscle to hit profitability and the growth will follow the cost down.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04The linchpins
- 05Methodology
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