COBack of Napkin
Core Scientific, Inc. CORZ
The bet you're really making is that Core Scientific can turn its old bitcoin-mining warehouses into rented space for other companies' AI computers, and that its one giant tenant keeps paying. That tenant fills almost all the new space and backs the $4.3 billion Core borrowed to build it out. Right now the switch is working: the rented-space business went from $11 million to $137 million in a year, and most of that gain was profit, while the old mining shrank by two-thirds. You pay about 15 times this year's sales, more than the stock has cost at any point in its short public life.
Key data
CORZ · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Core Scientific builds and runs big warehouses full of computers. For years those computers were its own, mining bitcoin. The plan now is to pull the miners out and rent the buildings, power, and cooling to companies running artificial intelligence, a business it calls high-density colocation, and that is now most of what it earns. The asset is what it always was: fenced land, a substation, and hundreds of megawatts of contracted electricity, the scarce thing everyone building AI wants and cannot get quickly. Core's edge is that it already owns the power and the shells and is converting them faster than a rival could permit and build from scratch. The catch is who rents them. Nearly all the new space sits under one hyperscale tenant on long contracts, and that tenant's warrants sit on Core's own balance sheet as a liability worth about $2.0 billion. The thesis needs two things true at once: AI demand for power stays hot, and that one tenant keeps writing checks.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04How it fails or surprises you
- 05Closing thoughts
- 06Methodology
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