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Back of Napkin

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. CRWD

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

CrowdStrike's free cash flow margin reached 33.7%, its highest ever, two years after an update it shipped crashed millions of computers worldwide.

Annual recurring revenue is $5.51B and growing 24%, which is faster than it was growing before the outage.

CRWD · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$22$75$127$179$232 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

CrowdStrike sells cybersecurity as a subscription. A single lightweight agent sits on every laptop and server a company owns, watching for attacks, and the analysis happens in CrowdStrike's cloud rather than on the machine. Customers add modules over time: endpoint first, then cloud workloads, identity, and increasingly the log management that used to belong to other vendors.

The land-and-expand model is the whole economic engine. Just over half of customers use six or more modules, and each additional one costs CrowdStrike almost nothing to deliver because the agent is already installed. That is why the free cash flow margin keeps rising while the reported operating line stays negative.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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