MCBack of Napkin
Moelis & Company MC
Three years ago Moelis lost money for a full year; last quarter it set a Q2 revenue record, and that round trip is the entire risk profile of the stock in one sentence.
The setup turns on operating leverage running in your favor: a firm with no debt, no goodwill and a comp bill that just fell three points is pure torque on the deal cycle, in both directions.
MC · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Moelis is advisory in its distilled form: no markets desk, no lending, no funds business, just merger, restructuring and capital-markets advice sold by managing directors Ken Moelis has recruited for two decades. The customer is a board or a sponsor paying a success fee measured in millions per deal. The moat is the bench, and the current expansion says so: six managing directors joined this year across private credit secondaries, energy, chemicals and healthcare technology, with six more committed. The balance sheet is $481.1M of cash and short-term investments against no debt and no goodwill, the cleanest in the group.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04How it fails or surprises you
- 05The shape of the payoff
- 06Closing thoughts
- 07Methodology
Continue with MC
Get the complete Back of Napkin free.
Choose this as your free complete report. No card required.
Read the complete reportAlready a member? Sign in


