SNBack of Napkin
StoneX Group Inc. SNEX
StoneX just grew quarterly earnings 102% after swallowing R.J. O'Brien, the largest non-bank futures broker, and five of its senior officers spent July and August exercising decade-old options and selling the stock.
The setup turns on trusting a compounding machine that most investors cannot model, in a quarter where the people who can model it chose to take money out.
SNEX · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
StoneX is the plumbing of global markets for clients too small or too specialized for the megabanks: futures clearing for grain elevators and energy hedgers, securities market-making, physical metals, payments to frontier countries. The reported top line is a meaningless $132B because physical commodities pass through it; the economic revenue is net operating revenue, about $2.1B last fiscal year and now compounding faster. Growth comes from acquisitions that bolt client books onto fixed clearing infrastructure, R.J. O'Brien being the largest yet, adding 32 million listed contracts and $6.6B of client float in its first full quarter. The moat is that infrastructure plus regulatory licenses across dozens of jurisdictions, tedious to replicate and sticky once a hedger clears through you.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04How it fails or surprises you
- 05The shape of the payoff
- 06Closing thoughts
- 07Methodology
Continue with SNEX
Get the complete Back of Napkin free.
Choose this as your free complete report. No card required.
Read the complete reportAlready a member? Sign in


