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Research library Asset Managers & Investment Banks

Back of Napkin

Raymond James Financial, Inc. RJF

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

Raymond James is the one bank in this week's advisory sweep that is not really a bank on a deal cycle: 72% of its revenue is fees on $1.92 trillion of client assets that mostly sit still and compound.

The setup turns on paying a near-record price, the stock is within 3% of its high, for a record quarter from a business whose engine is the market level itself.

RJF · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$88$113$138$163$188 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Raymond James is a wealth-management firm wearing an investment bank's coat. Nearly 9,000 advisors manage client money, a record $1.15 trillion of it in fee-based accounts billed as a percentage of assets, and that private client group produced $2.84B of last quarter's $3.93B in net revenue. Around it sit a capital markets arm that swings with the deal cycle, an asset manager, and a bank that lends against the client base's own deposits. The moat is the advisor relationship: assets follow the advisor, advisors stay for the platform and their book, and net new assets ran $21.7B last quarter, a 5.5% organic growth rate most competitors envy.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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