NFMoat Dive
Netflix, Inc. NFLX Moat
Netflix stopped reporting subscriber counts and average revenue per member after the December 2024 quarter, at a record 301.6 million members.
Over the four months to May 2026 its measured share of American television watch time fell from 9.0% to 8.0%, and it slipped to fourth.
Key data
The moat
Netflix's moat is spending. It commits more to original content than anyone can match without a second business subsidising it, and the library that spending builds is the reason a household keeps paying every month. Scale funds the spending and the spending sustains the scale.
Around that sits the recommendation system, which is genuinely better at putting the next thing in front of a viewer than most competitors, and a habit: the app is on the television's home row and the household does not think about the decision.
What it produced, when it was measurable, was pricing power. That measurement has been withdrawn.
Widening or narrowing
Four regions, four different directions.
| Quarter | United States and Canada | Europe | Latin America | Asia Pacific |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | 15% | 18% | 6% | 26% |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | 18% | 9% | 24% |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | 18% | 15% | 17% |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | 17% | 19% | 20% |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | 14% | 21% | 16% |
Latin America accelerated in every single quarter, from 6% to 21%, which is the cleanest sequence in the set and the region where paid sharing enforcement and the advertising tier had the most room to work.
The other three all decelerated from a peak. The home market went from 18% to 10% in three quarters, Europe from 18% to 14%, and Asia Pacific from 26% to 16% over the full period.
The overrated case, and it is the disclosure change. From the first quarter of 2025 the company stopped publishing paid memberships and revenue per member as regular quarterly metrics, saying it would announce membership at milestones and publish a twice-yearly engagement report instead. It has not published a revenue per member figure since. The advertising tier's member count has never been disclosed as a number in any release reviewed, only as revenue growth commentary.
That means neither price nor volume can be separated from revenue. A reader cannot tell whether the deceleration in three regions is fewer members or lower prices, which is precisely the question the moat turns on.
On profit pool, Netflix takes a monthly subscription from a household in exchange for content it paid for up front. A large slice of the entertainment dollar, funded by the largest content bill in the industry.
The moat is narrowing in three regions and widening in one.
Inside the complete Moat Dive
- 01What breaks it, and who
- 02Closing
- 03Methodology
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