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Back of Napkin

Champion Homes, Inc. SKY

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-08-05

Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-05, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

You're paying about 21.5 times trailing earnings of $3.65 for the largest US factory-built-home maker by volume, a debt-free business carrying roughly $529 million of net cash that just earned a record $214 million while buying back $200 million of its own stock.

The asymmetry is a structural housing-affordability tailwind meeting a shipment cycle still below mid-cycle; you are paying a normal multiple for a fortress-balance-sheet cyclical taking share, with earnings power above today's print if volumes normalize, not a deep-value bargain.

Key data

Sector / industryConsumer Cyclical / Residential Construction
FYE / countryLate March / US (Troy, Michigan)
Price / 52w range$78.61 / $59.44 to $99.17
Position vs MA50d SMA $74.89, 200d SMA $79.64
Market cap / EV≈$4.32B / ≈$3.79B
Revenue (FY2026)≈$2.66B
EPS (FY2026, diluted GAAP)$3.65
Net cash≈$529M
Forward P/E (FY2027E)≈23x
Beta1.04

SKY · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$52$67$82$97$112 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Champion Homes, which still trades under the SKY ticker after rebranding from Skyline Champion in 2024, builds manufactured and modular homes under more than a dozen brands and sells them through independent retailers and a growing company-owned store network. The engine is core factory-built housing volume: units shipped times average selling price, where the affordability gap to site-built homes drives demand. Manufacturing is where the operating profit lives; the company-owned retail layer, Titan Factory Direct, now runs 18 sales centers across the southern US and captures distribution margin plus a cleaner read on end demand. Champion just closed fiscal 2026 (year ended March 28) with record revenue of $2.66 billion and net income of $214 million, the highest profit in its history outside the 2022 to 2023 demand spike.

The fact the financials do not show is the structure of the industry and its demand driver. Factory-built housing is a tight oligopoly: Clayton Homes, owned by Berkshire Hathaway, holds roughly half the market, with Champion and Cavco the two public players behind it. The demand substrate is affordability, since a manufactured home costs a fraction of a comparable site-built home per square foot, set against a chronic US housing shortage; the regulatory substrate is the federal HUD building code and the home-only "chattel" financing market, which is tighter and pricier than conventional mortgages. The cycle matters most: industry shipments remain below the mid-cycle level, so the operative question is whether the recovery off the fiscal 2024 trough carries into fiscal 2027.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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