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Back of Napkin

Tradeweb Markets Inc. TW

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At $93, Tradeweb trades for about 23x forward earnings on a business that just grew revenue 21% in the most recent quarter and converts roughly 55% of revenue into adjusted EBITDA, yet the stock sits 37% below its 52-week high.

The asymmetry is the gap between a still-accelerating electronic-trading franchise and a multiple that has compressed as if growth were rolling over; you are paying a high-teens-to-low-20s forward multiple for a debt-light compounder that is taking share in the largest fixed-income markets on earth.

Key data

ItemValue
SectorFinancial exchanges / electronic trading venue (FYE Dec, US)
Price$93.35
52-week range$91.42 to $147.49
Market cap≈$19.9B
Enterprise value≈$18.1B (net cash ≈$1.8B)
TTM revenue / diluted EPS≈$2.16B / ≈$4.09 GAAP
Most recent quarterQ1 2026 revenue $617.8M, up 21%
Forward P/E (FY26E ≈$4.05)≈23x
Adjusted EBITDA margin (Q1 2026)≈55%

TW · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$68$90$111$132$153 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Tradeweb runs electronic marketplaces where institutions, dealers, and increasingly retail wealth platforms trade rates, credit, money markets, and equities. It earns money three ways: transaction fees on volume that crosses its platforms, subscription and connectivity fees, and market-data licensing. Revenue is almost entirely fee-based; transaction-based pass-through costs are immaterial here, so the reported top line is effectively the net-revenue line consensus tracks, and no maker-taker rebate adjustment is needed. The engine is transaction fees: $1.7B of FY2025's $2.1B revenue, about 83% of the total, with subscription fees ($234M) and market data ($93M) the recurring ballast underneath. The barrel that matters most is rates and credit volume flowing through the screens, and that volume hit a record quarterly average daily figure of $3.3 trillion in Q1 2026.

What the financials do not show directly is the structural tailwind underneath the volume: the slow migration of fixed-income trading from voice and phone to electronic, where Tradeweb is one of two scaled venues alongside MarketAxess. In rates and money markets that migration is mature; in credit, especially institutional corporate bonds and portfolio trading, it is still early, which is why credit is where the share gains and the pricing power compound fastest. The 2024 acquisition of Institutional Cash Distributors (ICD) added a corporate-treasury money-market portal that is now contributing, and the most recent quarter showed positive volume growth across swaps, mortgages, European government bonds, European credit, emerging-market credit, credit-default swaps, equity derivatives, and repos. The leading indicator to watch is not the printed revenue but the ADV trend and the credit-protocol share, both of which were still climbing into 2026.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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