YOBack of Napkin
Clear Secure, Inc. YOU
Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-05, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.
You're paying about 5.3 times revenue and roughly 19 times EBITDA, near $5.2 billion enterprise value, for the CLEAR identity network: a debt-free, FCF-rich subscription business whose airport-security membership funds an expansion into broader identity verification.
The asymmetry is whether the 8-million-member airport franchise converts into a much larger identity platform while the cash engine keeps compounding; this is a profitable growth story at a fair price, gated on whether identity beyond travel becomes a real revenue leg before the growth multiple normalizes.
Key data
YOU · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
CLEAR sells identity verification as a network. The cash engine is CLEAR Plus, the roughly $199-a-year airport subscription that speeds members through security lanes, generating high-retention recurring revenue; it is the slice doing most of the work today, the bulk of the $900.8M revenue base. Around it the company is layering TSA PreCheck enrollment, Reserve virtual queuing, eGates for a faster biometric airport experience, and the business-to-business identity products CLEAR1 and Atlas Certified, which verify people and credentials for enterprises. The travel subscription is the engine; the non-travel identity platform is the optionality.
The fact the financials do not surface is the platform bet against the travel dependence. CLEAR Plus is fundamentally a travel-convenience subscription, exposed to air-travel volumes and to the partnership terms with the Transportation Security Administration that govern airport access. The case for re-rating rests on the base of verified members, roughly 41 million total with about 8 million paying, extending into healthcare, finance, events, and enterprise identity, markets far larger than security lanes; the case against is that the non-travel platform is still early and the core remains a travel business. What changed in the most recent quarter, Q1 FY2026 reported May 6, is continued momentum: revenue $253.0M up about 20% year over year, bookings outpacing revenue, and the business-to-business identity line compounding fast off a small base.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04The linchpins
- 05Closing
- 06Methodology
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