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Back of Napkin

Arista Networks, Inc. ANET

Three-pass checkedFresh as companies report

Its deferred revenue grew 27.8% in six months to $6.87B, which is customers paying in advance for equipment not yet delivered.

ANET · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$26$72$119$165$212 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Arista makes the switches that connect servers to each other inside a data centre. When a hyperscale operator wires up tens of thousands of accelerators, the network between them determines how fast the whole cluster runs, and Arista's advantage is a single operating system, EOS, running across every box rather than the patchwork most competitors ship.

The customers are the largest cloud and artificial-intelligence builders in the world, which is why the concentration is what it is. Arista sells to perhaps a few hundred organisations that matter, and a handful of them account for most of the growth. That is a very different business from selling networking equipment to thousands of enterprises, and it explains both the margins and the risk.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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