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Cognex Corporation CGNX

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-08-06

Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-06, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

You are paying roughly 11 times revenue and 44 times this year's earnings, about $11 billion near a 52-week high after more than doubling off the low, for the leading independent machine-vision company two quarters into a cyclical recovery with operating margin re-expanding hard.

The asymmetry is whether a secular automation tailwind plus a structural cost program turn a capex-cyclical into a durable high-margin compounder, or whether a premium multiple meets a second-half stall that management itself is flagging.

Key data

Sector / industryTechnology / Machine Vision, Factory and Logistics Automation
FYE / countryDecember / US (Natick, MA)
Price / 52w range$65.90 / $29.22 to $71.90
Market cap / EV≈$11.0B / ≈$10.8B
Revenue (FY25)≈$994.4M
EPS (FY25, GAAP)$0.68
Forward P/E (FY26E)≈44x
Beta1.51

CGNX · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$20$33$46$59$71 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Cognex makes machine-vision systems, the cameras, sensors, and software that let machines locate, identify, inspect, measure, and guide parts in manufacturing and logistics. The product lines are In-Sight vision systems, VisionPro and deep-learning software, and DataMan barcode readers, sold into logistics and warehouse automation, consumer-electronics manufacturing, automotive including EV and battery lines, semiconductor, and life sciences. The engine is the standard product franchise: standard products and services were $880M of FY25 revenue, about 89% of the total, with customer-specific solutions the remaining 11%. Geography is balanced, the Americas at 41% of revenue, Europe 25%, Other Asia 18%, and Greater China 16%, the China line still below its 2022 peak. The one-line moat is an installed base plus a vision-software library that makes Cognex the default specifier on factory lines, but Keyence, the far larger and higher-margin Japanese sensor-and-vision rival, is the quality benchmark that caps the share story.

The thing the financials do not show is where in the capital cycle this sits. Machine-vision demand tracks the manufacturing and automation capex cycle, which troughed in 2023 and 2024 and is now recovering. Q1 2026 revenue was $268.4M, up 24% on Q1 2025's $216.0M, broad-based across logistics, electronics, and automotive. Layered on the cycle is a cost-reduction program targeting $35M to $40M of annualized savings by the end of 2026, plus new edge-AI vision products, the In-Sight 6900 and 3900, pushing deep learning to the camera. What changed: operating margin in Q1 2026 reached 22.3% against 12.1% a year earlier, the latest in a run of margin gains, even as management flagged caution on the second half citing macro, energy, and geopolitical risk.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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