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Back of Napkin

EQT Corporation EQT

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EQT's realised gas price went from $5.08 to $2.65 per thousand cubic feet equivalent in one quarter, and earnings per share went from $2.36 to $0.34.

EQT · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$28$39$49$60$70 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

EQT pulls natural gas out of the Marcellus and Utica shale under Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Ohio, and since buying Equitrans in 2024 it also owns a good deal of the pipe that moves it. That vertical integration is the point: an Appalachian producer without takeaway capacity sells into a basin price, and a producer that owns the pipe sells closer to the market price.

There is no product differentiation in a molecule of methane. The entire business is cost per unit, volume, and where you can physically deliver it. EQT is the largest producer in the country and its total cash operating cost sits near a dollar per thousand cubic feet equivalent, which is the only durable thing on this page.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04How it fails or surprises you
  5. 05The shape of the payoff
  6. 06Closing thoughts
  7. 07Methodology

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