GPBack of Napkin
Global Payments Inc. GPN
Written 2026-07-20. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-05, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.
Global Payments closed the Worldpay purchase and the Issuer Solutions sale to FIS in January 2026, and at $77.82 the remade pure-play merchant acquirer trades at 5.6x FY26 guided adjusted earnings with a 10.6% free-cash-flow yield (FY25, on market cap).
The asymmetry is the gap between a bottom-of-the-market multiple and a consensus adjusted-EPS path from $13.81 in FY26 to $24.79 by FY30; it holds only if organic growth stays near the 5% guide while the Worldpay book avoids attrition and the stablecoin and agentic-commerce fears stay narrative rather than volume.
Key data
GPN · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Global Payments sells the plumbing of card acceptance: authorization, settlement, funding, terminals, fraud tooling, and vertical software for merchants across the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. Two linked transactions completed January 2026 remade the company: it bought Worldpay from FIS and GTCR at a $24.3B valuation and simultaneously sold its Issuer Solutions unit to FIS for $13.5B, leaving a near pure-play merchant business. Merchant acceptance carries the franchise now, essentially 100% of continuing revenue, spanning small-business point of sale, enterprise e-commerce via Worldpay, and integrated software verticals such as restaurants, education, and healthcare. The moat, in one sentence, is switching costs on embedded processing relationships plus software-led distribution; whether that holds for twenty years is a separate audit.
What the financials understate is the transition noise. Q1 FY26, the first quarter with Worldpay inside, printed GAAP revenue of $2.97B and a GAAP diluted loss of $6.59 per share on deal and integration charges, while adjusted net revenue was $2.86B, up roughly 5.5% normalized (4.5% constant currency, per the Q1 release), and adjusted EPS grew 10% to $2.96. The leading indicators are not the GAAP line: they are normalized net revenue growth, merchant retention through the Worldpay migration, and the synergy schedule, roughly $600M of expense synergies and at least $200M of revenue synergies within three years per management's deal targets.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04The linchpins
- 05Closing
- 06Methodology
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