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Back of Napkin

Global Payments Inc. GPN

Three-pass checkedFiled since 2026-08-05

Written 2026-07-20. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-05, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.

Global Payments closed the Worldpay purchase and the Issuer Solutions sale to FIS in January 2026, and at $77.82 the remade pure-play merchant acquirer trades at 5.6x FY26 guided adjusted earnings with a 10.6% free-cash-flow yield (FY25, on market cap).

The asymmetry is the gap between a bottom-of-the-market multiple and a consensus adjusted-EPS path from $13.81 in FY26 to $24.79 by FY30; it holds only if organic growth stays near the 5% guide while the Worldpay book avoids attrition and the stablecoin and agentic-commerce fears stay narrative rather than volume.

Key data

Sector / industryFinancial Services / merchant acquiring
FYE / countryDecember / US
Price / 52w range$77.82 / $61.16 to $90.64
Market cap / EV$19.3B / $37.0B
FY25 revenue (continuing ops)$7.71B
FY25 diluted EPS (GAAP)$5.83
Q1 FY26 diluted EPS (GAAP)($6.59), deal charges
FY26E adj EPS (guidance)$13.80 to $14.00
Forward P/E (FY26E)5.6x
Net debt$17.7B (3.7x FY26E EBITDA)

GPN · price with moving averages

Daily · 6MWeekly · 3Y
$58$79$100$121$142 Sep '23Apr '24Nov '24Jun '25Jan '26Aug '26 BID
EMAs82140

Source: market data.

The business

Global Payments sells the plumbing of card acceptance: authorization, settlement, funding, terminals, fraud tooling, and vertical software for merchants across the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. Two linked transactions completed January 2026 remade the company: it bought Worldpay from FIS and GTCR at a $24.3B valuation and simultaneously sold its Issuer Solutions unit to FIS for $13.5B, leaving a near pure-play merchant business. Merchant acceptance carries the franchise now, essentially 100% of continuing revenue, spanning small-business point of sale, enterprise e-commerce via Worldpay, and integrated software verticals such as restaurants, education, and healthcare. The moat, in one sentence, is switching costs on embedded processing relationships plus software-led distribution; whether that holds for twenty years is a separate audit.

What the financials understate is the transition noise. Q1 FY26, the first quarter with Worldpay inside, printed GAAP revenue of $2.97B and a GAAP diluted loss of $6.59 per share on deal and integration charges, while adjusted net revenue was $2.86B, up roughly 5.5% normalized (4.5% constant currency, per the Q1 release), and adjusted EPS grew 10% to $2.96. The leading indicators are not the GAAP line: they are normalized net revenue growth, merchant retention through the Worldpay migration, and the synergy schedule, roughly $600M of expense synergies and at least $200M of revenue synergies within three years per management's deal targets.

Inside the complete Back of Napkin

  1. 01The business
  2. 02The numbers
  3. 03Management
  4. 04The linchpins
  5. 05Closing
  6. 06Methodology

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