GPBack of Napkin
Gulfport Energy Corp GPOR
Written 2026-06-15. The company has filed a quarterly or annual report since, on 2026-08-04, so figures here predate its latest disclosure.
You are paying about 5x earnings and a 12% free-cash-flow yield for a post-bankruptcy Appalachia and SCOOP natural gas pure-play that has retired roughly a third of its float since 2021 and keeps buying back stock above its own cash generation.
The asymmetry is a low multiple on a debt-light, share-shrinking gas producer that the market has marked back to its 52-week low even as Dell'Osso, the operator who ran the Chesapeake into Expand buyback playbook, now sits in the CEO chair; the catch is that the buyback has been leaning on the revolver and the share count has stopped falling.
Key data
GPOR · price with moving averages
Source: market data.
The business
Gulfport produces natural gas, NGLs, and condensate from two basins: roughly 187,000 net acres in the Utica Shale in Eastern Ohio and about 74,000 net acres in the SCOOP play in Oklahoma. The mix is roughly 90% gas, which makes this a near-pure Henry Hub bet with a small liquids kicker. The barrel that matters is the Utica dry-gas window, the largest share of equivalents at the lowest unit cost in the portfolio; it carries the economics, and SCOOP is the smaller, more liquids-weighted complement. There is no real moat here beyond low-cost acreage and a clean balance sheet; this is a commodity producer whose edge is cost position and capital discipline, not a franchise.
The qualitative fact the financials understate is the float engineering since the 2021 bankruptcy emergence. Gulfport came out of restructuring near 25 million shares and bought stock steadily for three years; diluted share count fell from 20.3M in FY22 to 18.1M in FY24. What changed in the last two quarters is that the shrink stalled: diluted shares were 18.4M for FY25 and ticked back up to 18.7M in Q1 2026, even as the company spent $169.8M on repurchases in the quarter. Q1 buybacks again ran above free cash flow ($155.1M FCF), funded with $35M of net revolver draw, so the program is being financed at the margin rather than self-funded. The right question is no longer whether they retire shares; it is whether they can keep paying these prices without the count creeping up and leverage drifting higher.
Inside the complete Back of Napkin
- 01The business
- 02The numbers
- 03Management
- 04The linchpins
- 05Closing
- 06Methodology
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