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Essays on the businesses behind the tickers.

34 essays. The research library lives here.

US Investment Banks: Friends Don’t Let Friends Buy Levered Cyclicals When The Economy is Booming

My thoughts on investment banks, operating leverage, cyclicality, and managing risk.

August 27, 2026

INTU: Death, Taxes, and Increasing Prices on Your Customers

A deeper dive on a name that everyone is talking about, yet few really understand.

August 26, 2026 · INTU

Trump’s "Bank": It’s Actually Worse Than You Think

It’s not a bank, but

August 20, 2026

Brazilian Financials: A Loan Can’t Be 90 Days Late Until It’s 90 Days Old

Why growth masks future credit risk and the quick read on Brazilian financials.

August 19, 2026

NAVI: Left for Dead and Under-covered. But Things Have Changed

A value trap no more hiding a growth engine with an accounting shift that helps the timing of earnings.

August 18, 2026 · NAVI

The Company Behind Your Mortgage Just Lost 38.5% in a Day While Turning a Profit?

How things changed fast at UWMC and why capital allocation matters.

August 7, 2026 · RKT

The Google Debate And Why Ads Rule Everything Around Me

A biased long's rebuttal to the secular decline argument on Google.

August 6, 2026 · GOOGL

Banks Are the Most Expensive They've Been in 16 Years

105 banks, every major market. Canada is the priciest. And what buying high in banks historically has cost investors.

August 5, 2026

The Price Is Right, The Timing Isn't

Two optically cheap names. One a payments company with a lending book and fancy airport lounges. Another likely the cheapest large cap ever.

July 30, 2026 · AXP

Nobody Can Pick Individual Momentum Winners, and That's The Good News

Momentum is a real, documented edge going back to the 1800s. It only pays if you stop trying to picking one offs.

July 28, 2026

You Are Not Discounting Risk Logically. Your Brain Is The Cause.

The influence technique you weren't meant to notice and why it's more dangerous to your investing than you would think.

July 27, 2026

Only an MIT Led Company Could Find a Way to Work with Alinea and Applebees

What to do when fundamentals inflect higher, multiples de-rate lower, and why cyclicality is never to be messed with.

July 23, 2026 · TOST

Yellow Pages Had a Great Moat, Until the Internet Came Along

The 3 companies most likely to be around in 20 years, the 6 worth exploring more, and why beaten down doesn't always mean worth buying.

July 22, 2026

Everything Around You Is Built to Make You Worse at Investing

The three enemies of compounding and why I founded BID to fight them

July 13, 2026

The GPN Trap

Trading at 6x earnings, $GPN appears cheap, but structural shifts loom. Explore how the $24B Worldpay merger and legacy tech stack are transitioning the company

December 4, 2025 · GPN

The 16x FCF Mirage: Should You Buy Uber?

Deeper analysis into Free Cash Flow and Uber's growth premium. Quantifying the AV and cyclical risk by modeling five future outcomes. And showing you the real b

November 25, 2025 · UBER

Flagstar (FLG): Still Somewhere Between A Dumpster Fire & A Discarded Gem

October 24, 2025 · FLG

Can Wise Outrun Stablecoins in the $32T Cross-Border Market?

Stablecoins cut fees in theory, but Wise is cutting them in practice.

September 24, 2025 · WISE

StoneCo: 14x Earnings for 20% EPS Growth?

PIX didn’t kill it, buybacks boosted it, and EPS is compounding faster than peers still priced richer.

September 19, 2025 · STNE

I'm Popular Now: How a Boring Bank Beat the Market

September 10, 2025 · BPOP

Straight Outta Sweden: Klarna’s $45B Hype, Its $7B Bottom, and the $14B IPO Test For Investors Today

September 8, 2025 · KLAR

The Math on Rocket: $5.8B Revenues, $40B Cap, and a $1.2T Rate Unlock

September 5, 2025 · RKT

The Quiet Deposit Bill That Could Reshape Banking, Kill Stablecoins, and Boost Regional Banks Stocks

August 11, 2025

The Fair-Value Flywheel: SoFi’s Greatest Strength and Its Darkest Shadow

How SoFi turns model-based loan marks into growth fuel, how it parallels MSTR and their crypto accounting, and how the same playbook could reverse fast.

August 5, 2025 · SOFI

The Most Hated Compounder in the Payments Space

EPS growth, buybacks, branded recovery, and a CEO who actually hits numbers

July 31, 2025 · PYPL

Citibank: Back Then Didn't Want Me, Now I'm Hot, They All On Me

A breakdown of Citi’s Q2 glow-up, from revenue growth to 24/7 tokenized payments, and how a bank everyone wrote off is quietly earning its way to another re-rat

July 17, 2025 · C

Everyone’s Talking About Circle. Almost No One Understands How It Actually Works.

Be careful blindly buying the hype and get a plain speak deep dive on who they are, what they do, how they make money, and their growth prospects.

June 10, 2025 · CRCL

Investment Banks Beneath the Surface: Capturing the Winners and Fading the Fakes

A market neutral way to play the investment banks

May 8, 2025

They Were the Villain of Dumb Money. I Hated Them Too. Until I Saw the Numbers.

A 7 min read on a name I hated ... and then didn't hate.

April 1, 2025 · HOOD

Cash Is Dead: Inside the $32 Trillion Payments Ecosystem

Meet the companies shaping the future of money: giants, challengers, and niche disruptors poised to be the biggest winners in the cashless revolution.

January 29, 2025

A Bank Long with Midwestern Values & A Trusted Track Record

January 14, 2025 · WTFC

UK Banks: It's Not Exactly Difficult

Sometimes it pays to not overcomplicate things ...

October 30, 2024 · BARC

Riding the Mortgage Market Tailwinds

September 19, 2024 · COOP

Growth Is Good

A look at Western Alliance after an eventful year

April 22, 2024 · WAL